Friday
Sep282012
Breaking Down Bryce Harper's Homers
David Golebiewski | Friday, September 28, 2012 at 3:10PM
As the Nationals chase 100 wins, Bryce Harper has an outside shot of becoming baseball's all-time teenage home run champ. With 21 bombs, Harper has already passed the likes of Mickey Mantle (13 in 1951), Ken Griffey Jr. (16 in 1989) and Mel Ott (18 in 1928). Next up is Tony Conigliaro, who hit 24 homers back in 1964. How has Harper put himself one power surge away from Tony C.'s record? Here's a quick breakdown of Harper's homers.
- The lefty-hitting Harper has gone deep 15 times against right-handed pitchers, and six times versus lefties.
- He has done more damage on non-fastballs (12 home runs) than fastballs (nine). Harper has nine homers against fastballs/sinkers, four against changeups, three apiece versus sliders and cutters, and two on curveballs. Perhaps it shouldn't surprise us that Harper has more big flies against non-fastballs, considering that he has seen the second-lowest percentage of fastballs among all qualified MLB hitters:
Lowest fastball percentage seen among qualified hitters, 2012
Batter | Fastball Pct. |
---|---|
Pedro Alvarez | 38.1% |
Bryce Harper | 38.3% |
Cameron Maybin | 38.5% |
Alfonso Soriano | 38.9% |
Ike Davis | 39.3% |
Chris Johnson | 40.2% |
Justin Upton | 40.5% |
Josh Hamilton | 40.6% |
Dan Uggla | 40.7% |
Jesus Montero | 40.9% |
- Harper hasn't had much use for the opposite field, as his homer spray chart shows:
He has hit 12 HR to the pull side, six to center field and three to left field.
- While Harper's pull power would lead you to believe that he hit most of his homers against inside stuff, he actually has more taters on outside pitches (nine) than inside or middle offerings (six apiece).
- Six of Harper's homers have come on the first pitch of an at-bat. The only NL hitters with more first-pitch home runs are Ike Davis (11), Jay Bruce (10), Carlos Beltran (10), Ryan Braun (nine), Adam LaRoche (eight) and Matt Holliday (seven).
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