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« Going Deep with Chris Davis | Main | For what it's Werth »
Tuesday
Sep172013

Killer Speed Kills

“The good rising fastball is the best pitch in baseball.” - Tom Seaver

There is a terrific article in today's New York Times by Barry Bearak in which he talks with Glenn Fleisig, a biomedical engineer and the research director at the American Sports Medicine Institute, about a compelling question: Is there a limit to how fast a human being can throw?

His answer: Yes, there is.

And, he adds: That limit already has been reached.

“Oh, there may be an outlier, one exception here or there,” Fleisig said. “But for major league baseball pitchers as a group of elites, the top isn’t going to go up anymore. With better conditioning and nutrition and mechanics, more pitchers will be toward that top, throwing at 95 or 100. But the top has topped out.”

As reported in the article, according to the manager of data analytics and operations, Graham Goldbeck, of Sportvision which operates use of the Pitch F/X system, the fastest pitch recorded by the system is 105.1 miles per hour. It was thrown by Cincinnati Reds reliever Aroldis Chapman on Sept. 24, 2010, during an at-bat by Tony Gwynn Jr. of the San Diego Padres.

This season's fastest pitches

With this in mind, I wanted to look at the numbers for the fastest pitches thrown this season.

I broke this into starters and relievers since relievers know that they are out there for a short time and often let it all hang out.

2013 Fastest Pitches by Starters
MxVel
Gerrit Cole (PIT) 101.0
Andrew Cashner (SD) 100.2
Nathan Eovaldi (MIA) 100.1
Matt Harvey (NYM) 100.1
Danny Salazar (CLE) 100.0
Justin Verlander (DET) 99.9
Carlos Martinez (STL) 100.9
Wily Peralta (MIL) 99.3
Jose Fernandez (MIA) 99.2
Stephen Strasburg (WSH) 99.1


2013 Fastest Pitches by Relievers
MxVel
Aroldis Chapman (CIN) 104.0
Bruce Rondon (DET) 102.8
Henry Rodriguez (CHC) 102.3
Kelvin Herrera (KC) 101.5
Trevor Rosenthal (STL) 101.4
Carlos Martinez (STL) 100.9
Nate Jones (CWS) 100.8
Fernando Rodney (TB) 100.7
Jose Dominguez (LAD) 100.6
Greg Holland (KC) 100.2
Jeremy Jeffress (TOR) 100.1
Justin Wilson (PIT) 99.7
Tommy Hunter (BAL) 99.6
Tanner Scheppers (TEX) 99.6
Blake Wood (CLE) 99.6

There is nothing average about this heat

Here are the starting pitchers with the highest average speed this season
2013 Starters with the Highest Average Speed
P Vel MxVel MnVel
Carlos Martinez (STL) 380 93.7 100.9 76.9
Danny Salazar (CLE) 650 93.1 100.0 78.3
Gerrit Cole (PIT) 1,536 92.9 101.0 78.3
Nathan Eovaldi (MIA) 1,396 92.8 100.1 73.9
Matt Harvey (NYM) 2,697 92.1 100.1 77.1
James Paxton (SEA) 192 91.7 98.2 79.3
Kevin Gausman (BAL) 708 91.8 99.4 78.9
Zack Wheeler (NYM) 1,620 91.4 98.4 74.7
Wily Peralta (MIL) 2,895 91.3 99.3 75.8
Alex Colome (TB) 265 91.3 96.9 82.6
Taijuan Walker (SEA) 233 91.1 97.8 70.0
Garrett Richards (LAA) 2,082 91.7 97.6 74.5
Carlos Carrasco (CLE) 760 91.4 98.1 75.6
Johnny Hellweg (MIL) 437 91.2 98.1 73.4
Chris Archer (TB) 1,854 91.0 98.8 79.9


Here are the relievers - Chapman is simply ridiculous
2013 Relievers with the Highest Average Speed
P Vel MxVel MnVel
Blake Wood (CLE) 42 96.6 99.6 88.2
Aroldis Chapman (CIN) 1,029 96.5 104.0 81.1
Bruce Rondon (DET) 432 95.8 102.8 84.9
Jake McGee (TB) 1,055 95.6 99.1 79.2
Jose Dominguez (LAD) 149 95.3 100.6 80.7
Johnny Hellweg (MIL) 437 91.2 98.1 73.4
Trevor Rosenthal (STL) 1,218 94.9 101.4 77.0
Pedro Figueroa (OAK) 65 94.3 98.6 87.3
Kelvin Herrera (KC) 977 94.1 101.5 77.4
Joel Hanrahan (BOS) 158 94.1 99.2 82.6
Tanner Scheppers (TEX) 950 94.0 99.6 80.6
Henry Rodriguez (CHC) 450 93.9 102.3 80.1
Carlos Martinez (STL) 380 93.7 100.9 76.9
Brayan Villarreal (BOS) 133 93.7 97.7 82.3
Kevin Jepsen (LAA) 675 93.7 99.0 44.3
Craig Kimbrel (ATL) 935 93.6 99.5 75.9
Allen Webster (BOS) 486 90.3 97.7 74.6
Edgar Olmos (MIA) 76 93.5 98.2 82.0
Ernesto Frieri (LAA) 1,175 93.2 96.9 80.9
Michael Tonkin (MIN) 105 93.1 96.6 82.4

How fast are the fastballs?

"Every hitter likes fastballs, just like everybody likes ice cream. But you don't like it when someone's stuffing it into you by the gallon. That's what it feels like when Nolan Ryan's thrown balls by you." - Reggie Jackson

So far, I've been talking about the whole repertoire of pitches, but before I end this fast look into fast pitching, I want to talk fastballs.

According to the New York Times article, according to Sportvision, high-velocity fastball pitchers are on the rise. In 2008, 26 pitchers were averaging 95 and above. In 2009, the number rose to 29; in 2010, 41; in 2011, 42; in 2012, 44. This season the number is 46.

Here are the 15 pitchers who have thrown at least 200 fastballs this season and have the highest average speed for their heat.

2013 Fastest Average Fastballs (min 200)
P Vel MxVel MnVel
Aroldis Chapman (CIN) 842 98.4 104.0 94.4
Bruce Rondon (DET) 347 97.8 102.8 87.3
Nate Jones (CWS) 640 97.3 100.8 87.9
Kelvin Herrera (KC) 726 97.3 101.5 87.9
Henry Rodriguez (CHC) 311 97.1 102.3 92.8
Craig Kimbrel (ATL) 653 96.8 99.5 92.7
Trevor Rosenthal (STL) 1,063 96.4 101.4 87.9
Fernando Rodney (TB) 695 96.3 100.7 90.1
Carlos Martinez (STL) 309 96.3 100.9 84.9
Nathan Eovaldi (MIA) 994 96.3 100.1 87.9
Jake McGee (TB) 970 96.2 99.1 90.2
Chris Withrow (LAD) 336 96.2 98.9 88.0
Tanner Scheppers (TEX) 770 96.1 99.6 89.7
Tom Wilhelmsen (SEA) 538 96.0 99.2 90.0
Greg Holland (KC) 565 96.0 100.2 90.3

Just because you throw it fast, doesn't mean you can't be hit

"I looked for the same pitch my whole career, a breaking ball. All of the time. I never worried about the fastball. They couldn't throw it past me, none of them." - Hank Aaron
"Trying to sneak a fastball past Hank Aaron is like trying to sneak the sunrise past a rooster." - Joe Adcock

Here are the batting averages against and slugging pct. of those same pitchers with the fastest average fastballs. Check out Chapman and Kimbrel in contrast to Rondon and Jones.
2013 Fastest Average Fastballs (min 200)
P Vel AVG SLUG
Aroldis Chapman (CIN) 842 98.4 .177 .287
Bruce Rondon (DET) 347 97.8 .304 .468
Nate Jones (CWS) 640 97.3 .287 .393
Kelvin Herrera (KC) 726 97.3 .238 .450
Henry Rodriguez (CHC) 311 97.1 .258 .419
Craig Kimbrel (ATL) 653 96.8 .193 .333
Trevor Rosenthal (STL) 1,063 96.4 .217 .318
Fernando Rodney (TB) 695 96.3 .267 .375
Carlos Martinez (STL) 309 96.3 .300 .400
Nathan Eovaldi (MIA) 994 96.3 .244 .360
Jake McGee (TB) 970 96.2 .217 .354
Chris Withrow (LAD) 336 96.2 .250 .450
Tanner Scheppers (TEX) 770 96.1 .241 .346
Tom Wilhelmsen (SEA) 538 96.0 .235 .336
Greg Holland (KC) 565 96.0 .272 .380

In closing...

Yankees pitcher Lefty Gomez was said to have remarked after three Bob Feller pitches blew by him, “That last one sounded a little low.”

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