For the Rangers, Price May Be Right

David Price did not face the Texas Rangers this season which is a good thing, because if history is any predictor of future success, if Price had faced Texas in the first 162, there is a chance that tonight's play-in playoff would not be taking place.

So before you you look at the David Price vs. Martin Perez and say that this is a Tampa slam-dunk, take a look at the numbers.

Price has struggled against the Rangers

I	Year	W	L	W-L%	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	HBP	WHIP
	2009	0	2	.000	9.45	3	3	13.1	12	14	14	2	10	11	1	1.650
	2010	0	0		3.00	1	1	6.0	5	2	2	0	5	8	0	1.667
	2011	0	1	.000	3.21	2	2	14.0	13	5	5	1	3	13	0	1.143
	2012	1	1	.500	6.97	2	2	10.1	16	8	8	2	1	9	0	1.645
	Career Total	1	4	.200	5.98	8	8	43.2	46	29	29	5	19	41	1	1.489

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/30/2013.

In his eight career starts, Price has struggled

David Price vs. the Rangers

	AVG	SLUG	OBP	HR	K/9	BB/9	XBH
David Price	.274	.429	.349	5	8.45	3.92	16

Created by BaseballAnalytics.org on 9/30/2013

Price vs.the 2008-12 Rangers

David Price vs the Rangers 2008-12

	G	AB	H	HR	XBH	K	BB	P/PA	Miss%	ISO	AVG	SLUG	OBP
Adrian Beltre	7	23	8	1	4	6	0	3.78	36.0%	.261	.348	.609	.348
Elvis Andrus	8	17	6	0	0	3	5	4.30	14.3%	.000	.353	.353	.522
Nelson Cruz	6	12	6	2	2	1	2	3.93	18.5%	.500	.500	1.000	.571
Ian Kinsler	7	18	3	1	3	1	2	3.90	10.8%	.278	.167	.444	.250
David Murphy	5	10	2	0	1	5	1	4.00	20.0%	.100	.200	.300	.250
Craig Gentry	4	9	2	0	1	0	0	2.70	6.3%	.111	.222	.333	.222

Created by BaseballAnalytics.org on 9/30/2013

Price vs current Rangers who weren't Rangers at the time

David Price vs Rangers who weren't Rangers 2008-12

	G	AB	H	HR	XBH	K	BB	P/PA	Miss%	ISO	AVG	SLUG	OBP
A.J. Pierzynski	4	10	2	0	0	1	0	2.92	13.0%	.000	.200	.200	.273
Alex Rios	9	23	10	2	5	5	3	3.65	14.3%	.435	.435	.870	.500
Geovany Soto	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	3.00	0.0%	.000	.500	.500	.500
Adam Rosales	2	5	1	0	0	2	0	5.00	16.7%	.000	.200	.200	.200

Created by BaseballAnalytics.org on 9/30/2013

Breaking it down

Breaking Down David Price vs Rangers 2008-12

	G	AB	H	HR	XBH	K	BB	P/PA	Miss%	ISO	AVG	SLUG	OBP
Vs. Rangers Lefties	8	35	8	0	1	11	1	4.16	19.2%	.029	.229	.257	.243
Vs. Rangers Righties	8	133	38	5	15	30	18	4.08	21.8%	.188	.286	.474	.375
Vs. Rangers in Texas	4	70	25	4	9	16	8	4.16	16.0%	.243	.357	.600	.425
Vs. Rangers Lefties in Texas	4	14	4	0	0	6	0	4.53	18.4%	.000	.286	.286	.267
Vs. Rangers Righties in Texas	4	56	21	4	9	10	8	4.07	15.3%	.304	.375	.679	.462

Created by BaseballAnalytics.org on 9/30/2013

The Rangers vs. Price's fastball in Arlington

Righties feast:

• Righties have hit .455/.586/.864 against David Price's fastball in Arlington.
• Lefties have hit .286/.267/.286 against David Price's fastball in Arlington. Price has thrown 68 pitches against Rangers lefties in Texas, 66 have been fastballs.

Tonight it may come down to righties vs. Price's hard stuff

Price vs Righties in Texas 2008-12

	P	AB	H	HR	XBH	K	Miss%	Chas%	ClStk%	P/PA	AVG	SLUG	ISO
Fastball	143	22	10	2	5	3	9.4%	17.6%	33.3%	3.90	.455	.864	.409
Slider	31	5	3	1	2	0	8.3%	22.2%	26.3%	3.00	.600	1.400	.800
Change	41	11	4	1	1	2	30.4%	40.0%	33.3%	5.00	.364	.636	.273
Curve	11	5	1	0	0	1	42.9%	60.0%	50.0%	4.20	.200	.200	.000
Cutter	39	10	1	0	1	4	10.5%	23.1%	55.0%	4.42	.100	.200	.100
Hard	182	32	11	2	6	7	9.7%	18.5%	37.3%	4.05	.344	.656	.313
Soft	83	21	8	2	3	3	26.2%	34.9%	31.7%	4.36	.381	.714	.333

Created by BaseballAnalytics.org on 9/30/2013

There are no slam dunks in baseball.

Comments

Include the post-season, and it gets even worse for Price.